Is Sandisk a Better AI Chip Stock Than Micron?
In the rapidly expanding realm of artificial intelligence, investor attention has largely focused on companies like Micron Technology, which has demonstrated impressive performance driven by AI infrastructure demands. However, a closer examination reveals that another semiconductor entity, Sandisk, focusing on storage solutions, may offer an equally, if not more, promising investment opportunity within this dynamic sector.
Micron Technology has indeed capitalized on the AI boom, with its stock value skyrocketing by over 810% in the last year. The company reported a phenomenal 196% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $23.9 billion, alongside a gross margin surge to 75% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026. This success is significantly tied to its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips, crucial components for NVIDIA's advanced AI platforms, such as Blackwell and Rubin. Micron's recent announcement of HBM4 volume shipments for NVIDIA's Rubin systems further solidifies its position, with expectations for tight DRAM and NAND supply conditions extending beyond 2026. This indicates a robust demand for its core products, which are foundational to the next generation of AI computing.
However, Sandisk emerges as a strong contender by tapping into a different, yet equally vital, aspect of AI infrastructure: storage. The escalating complexity and data intensity of AI models, from larger prompts to more intricate reasoning and autonomous agents, necessitate vast amounts of low-latency flash storage. This requirement fuels demand for advanced storage infrastructure, an area where Sandisk excels. NAND flash technology, central to Sandisk's offerings, is becoming indispensable for AI systems, providing the necessary capacity and efficiency for running AI at scale. Sandisk is particularly benefiting from the increased need for enterprise solid-state drives (SSDs) and NAND flash in AI inference systems, vector databases, and agentic AI workloads. The company's management anticipates that AI-driven demand will fundamentally reshape the NAND market, potentially mitigating its historical cyclicality and ushering in a more stable growth trajectory.
Sandisk's financial performance underscores this narrative. The company recorded a staggering 251% year-over-year revenue increase, reaching $5.9 billion, and a sequential jump in non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of almost 277% to $23.4 in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. Its data center business, a key growth driver, saw revenues climb 233% sequentially to $1.47 billion. Furthermore, Sandisk has strategically secured its future through five multiyear supply agreements with committed purchase volumes and financial guarantees, totaling over $42 billion in minimum contractual revenue commitments. These agreements, including over $11 billion in financial guarantees backed by prepayments, provide enhanced visibility into future demand and pricing, with more than one-third of its fiscal 2027 production capacity already covered.
While Micron is projected to see impressive revenue growth of around 192% and adjusted EPS growth of 601% in fiscal 2026, Sandisk, despite its smaller size, is forecast to achieve nearly 164% revenue growth and a remarkable 2058% increase in adjusted EPS for the same period. This suggests that Sandisk's more agile structure and higher projected earnings growth could translate into greater stock appreciation. The company is also shifting its business mix towards higher-margin enterprise SSD products, which constituted approximately 25% of its portfolio in the third quarter, a figure expected to rise with the introduction of its QLC Stargate solutions. Sandisk's long-term strategy includes strengthening its supply chain resilience, evident in the extension of its NAND manufacturing joint venture with Kioxia and a $1 billion investment in Nanya Technology for DRAM supply. These moves position Sandisk for a sustained and significant role in the AI infrastructure landscape, moving beyond short-term market cycles.
Despite Sandisk's stock already appreciating over 4,000% in the past year, its prospects remain strong, particularly if AI infrastructure spending continues its shift towards storage-intensive inference workloads. While potential risks include a slowdown in AI spending or fluctuating NAND prices, Sandisk's strategic positioning and robust growth outlook make it a compelling investment alternative to Micron Technology in the evolving AI chip market.
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